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APGW my blue ass and rosy cheeks March 31, 2008

Posted by Administrator in Cultural Pessimism, Environmentalism, Global Warming, Liberal Hypocrisy.
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Look. I know this is anecdotal. I also know that to claim one year’s experience is not exactly valid in terms of a “world wide trend.”

But still. It is March 31st. I had to totally bundle up -again- to bike to work this morning. My Weatherbug says it is 23 degrees out. Average low at this time of year is just under 40. And this has been going on for weeks.

There is a trend towards warming? Well, I just might accept that, though I have yet to see the Urban Heat Island argument adequately addressed as to how it has impacted yearly measures of heat increase. Yes, I know the IPCC has quoted stat and verse that supposedly refutes it. Being trained in stats myself, I will say that I find their self-serving conclusion just that: self-serving, and not conclusive.

An example of the refutation of the heat island argument:

Ocean temperatures have climbed steadily during the past century, for example — yet this data is not affected by “urban heat islands.” Most land glaciers around the world are melting, far away from urban centers.

Right. Glaciers have been in retreat for centuries.

new research shows that the causes of Mt. Kilimanjaro’s well-documented
glacier retreat is far more complex, likely resulting from a natural climate shift that occurred more than 120 years ago, long before widespread use of fossil energy. Thus, scientific evidence informs us that the shrinkage of Kilimanjaro’s ice cap is simply part of the ebb and flow of the endless cycle of nature. This represents a perfect example of why scientific “consensus” does not equal scientific truth. And why we should not act in haste, basing our actions on scientific conclusions that have not been thoroughly examined and tested despite being widely quoted. An international team of researchers led by Georg Kaser and comprising experts in tropical weather, mountain glaciers, and paleoclimate took a behind-the-scenes look at the Kilimanjaro ice melt and answered the question, “Is man-made global warming responsible for the loss of Kilimanjaro’s glaciers?” The answer was a resounding “no.”

As for warming ocean temperatures, well, they’re not. Of course, NPR is trying to spin things in such a way as to say that the warmth has been pushed down to depth we don’t measure.

Which would be an interesting turn of science.  “Warm air rises”, remember?  How is it that in the ocean warm temps sink?  A revolution?  Or wishful thinking on Chicken Little’s part?

I vote for #2.

Meanwhile, temps this last year dropped huge.

China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years, with places like Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record levels of Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile — the list goes on and on.No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA’s GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously.

A compiled list of all the sources can be seen here.  The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C — a value large enough to wipe out most of the warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year’s time. For all four sources, it’s the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, either up or down.

Scientists quoted in a past DailyTech article link the cooling to reduced solar activity which they claim is a much larger driver of climate change than man-made greenhouse gases. The dramatic cooling seen in just 12 months time seems to bear that out. While the data doesn’t itself disprove that carbon dioxide is acting to warm the planet, it does demonstrate clearly that more powerful factors are now cooling it.

Hm.  Interesting to see how the spin doctors fall all over themselves to deal with this one.

Getting back to the origiunal issue,  as far as ‘warming” being AP-caused, I’ll start listening to those arguments at the same time I start seeing the Chicken Littles abandoning their cars.

I work at a school where most of the kids are somewhat well-off, and they have their own cars and drive themselves to school, in some cases no more than five blocks. In the interests of protecting the environment, they founded a Recycling Committee that encourages the student body and faculty to recycle paper and cans.

Now, I on occasion will crumple up the odd piece of paper and toss it in the trash. These kids then get on me about not recycling. I retort that when these kids start biking to work and cease spouting acre-feet of CO2 in the air by driving their cars, then they can lecture me on trashing the odd piece of paper. Till then, they need to keep their sanctimonious mouths shut.

Never fails to make my point.

Same goes for your APGW Chicken Littles. Start biking. DO something rather than complain. Making a difference doesn’t mean whining about how others aren’t helping. Making a difference means YOU doing what YOU can right now.

Charity begins at home, people.

Of course, if cooling is in effect, I guess we better start driving those cars again, and quick, or we all might freeze to death.

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Comments»

1. jan - April 1, 2008

A good blog that I’ve found recently about climate change science is Watts Up With That?”
http://wattsupwiththat.wordpress.com/
Lots of in depth stuff that’s well explained.


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